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Red98
1040017.5
863028.2
43026.8
Blue146
437338.3
518137.8
71428.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911605010015020098146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
22Coral points16
22Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +29
14Coral scored#23
52Coral points81
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
74Total teleop103
Reef
8L4#11
6L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
98Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8630
#18
28.21.9
28.029.9
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
blue by 10.1
38.32.4
31.534.0
Auto11.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Second
430
#15
26.81.9
18.220.1
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End3.4
blue by 11.0
37.82.4
41.243.7
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
Third
17.51.9
8.710.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5
blue by 11.1
714
#21
28.62.4
23.025.4
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned