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Red112
457526.8
1150.6
30332.6
Blue140
331471.3
680825.7
941623.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359850150200112140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+30
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +20
15Coral scored#21
54Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
80Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
112Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#10
50.60.9
56.455.5
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
blue by 20.7
71.32.7
54.156.8
Auto18.7
Teleop42.9
End9.7
Second
303
#12
32.60.9
32.831.9
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
red by 6.9
6808
#14
25.72.7
23.526.2
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
Third
4575
#20
26.80.9
27.626.6
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.5
red by 3.6
9416
#22
23.12.7
14.116.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned