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Red100
911622.3
180757.2
20317.6
Blue104
249530.8
139153.5
1000119.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100103708090110120130140100104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave0
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points33
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +28
19Coral scored#13
67Coral points47
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
87Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points6
100Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.9
51.152.0
Auto12.2
Teleop39.1
End5.8
red by 3.7
53.50.5
47.848.3
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End6.4
Second
9116
#25
22.30.9
18.419.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.2
blue by 8.4
2495
#13
30.80.5
24.224.7
Auto4.2
Teleop24.8
End1.7
Third
203
#30
17.60.9
16.917.8
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End4.9
blue by 1.9
19.50.5
18.919.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed