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Red37
901417.3
910017.0
902718.0
Blue94
81618.5
463717.0
692137.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569002040801001201401603794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+61
Endgame+63
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +54
3Coral scored#12
10Coral points42
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
0Processor points18
8Net points12
8Algae points30
18Total teleop72
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
6Foul points0
37Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9027
#28
18.02.9
16.914.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
blue by 19.6
6921
#16
37.61.1
32.233.3
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
9014
#29
17.31.7
16.114.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 1.2
816
#27
18.51.1
20.421.5
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Third
9100
#24
17.01.7
15.914.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Level
4637
#17
17.01.1
15.716.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed