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Red156
43026.8
260765.4
139153.5
Blue81
71428.6
941623.1
19332.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1457105010020015681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+77Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +67
19Coral scored#10
70Coral points37
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
24Processor points6
20Net points4
44Algae points10
114Total teleop47
Reef
13L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
16Cage & park18
16Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
156Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.41.8
53.355.1
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
red by 32.9
193
#8
32.60.1
28.328.4
Auto3.9
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Second
53.51.8
48.350.1
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End6.4
red by 24.8
714
#21
28.60.1
25.425.5
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Third
430
#15
26.81.8
20.121.9
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End3.4
red by 3.7
9416
#22
23.10.1
16.816.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned