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Red91
255434.0
902718.0
30332.6
Blue45
911622.3
910017.0
81618.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions995601502009145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+44Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#7
49Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
63Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
91Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2554
#11
34.00.3
35.135.4
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End1.0
red by 11.7
9116
#25
22.30.9
19.318.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.2
Second
303
#12
32.60.3
31.932.2
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
red by 14.1
816
#27
18.50.9
21.520.7
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Third
9027
#28
18.00.5
14.014.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
red by 1.0
9100
#24
17.00.9
14.213.3
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed