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Red57
1000119.5
20317.6
463717.0
Blue127
249530.8
43328.6
1040017.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions737620406010012014057127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+58
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +57
9Coral scored#23
34Coral points83
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
44Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
57Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.9
19.418.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 11.3
2495
#13
30.83.5
24.728.2
Auto4.2
Teleop24.8
End1.7
Second
203
#30
17.60.9
17.816.9
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End4.9
blue by 11.0
433
#9
28.63.5
22.225.7
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Third
4637
#17
17.00.9
16.815.9
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.4
blue by 0.5
17.53.5
10.614.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned