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Red109
863028.2
1150.6
180757.2
Blue98
692137.6
901417.3
457526.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1607305010020025010998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+1Teleop
+7Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave0
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points19
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +24
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
47Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points2
109Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.22.3
52.049.7
Auto12.2
Teleop39.1
End5.8
red by 19.6
6921
#16
37.61.4
33.334.8
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
11
#10
50.62.3
55.553.2
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
red by 23.8
4575
#20
26.81.4
26.628.1
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.5
Third
8630
#18
28.22.3
29.927.6
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
red by 10.9
9014
#29
17.31.4
14.415.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed