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Red189
43026.8
331471.3
71428.6
Blue122
139153.5
518137.8
910017.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211980100140160180189122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+67Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
8Coral scored#4
40Coral points22
40Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +49
29Coral scored#14
105Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
133Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#7
15L3#5
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
189Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.34.5
60.264.7
Auto18.7
Teleop42.9
End9.7
red by 17.8
53.50.2
50.150.3
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End6.4
Second
714
#21
28.64.5
25.530.0
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
blue by 9.1
37.80.2
43.543.7
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
Third
430
#15
26.84.5
21.926.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End3.4
red by 9.8
9100
#24
17.00.2
13.313.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned