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Red51
902718.0
43328.6
81618.5
Blue79
680825.7
249530.8
30332.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63103501505179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +39
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points47
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
28Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
51Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#9
28.60.7
25.725.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End5.2
blue by 4.0
303
#12
32.60.5
32.231.7
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
Second
816
#27
18.50.7
20.720.0
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
blue by 12.3
2495
#13
30.80.5
28.227.7
Auto4.2
Teleop24.8
End1.7
Third
9027
#28
18.01.0
14.513.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
blue by 7.7
6808
#14
25.70.5
26.025.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed