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Red123
1015719.0
1000119.5
331471.3
Blue69
518137.8
71428.6
1150.6
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071445020025012369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+56Teleop
+60Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +39
13Coral scored#7
48Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
72Total teleop33
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
18Cage & park14
18Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points6
123Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.31.2
64.765.9
Auto18.7
Teleop42.9
End9.7
red by 20.7
11
#10
50.64.8
51.947.1
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
Second
19.51.2
17.218.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 18.3
37.84.8
43.738.9
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
Third
19.01.2
15.616.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.3
blue by 9.6
714
#21
28.64.8
30.025.2
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned