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Red91
692137.6
43026.8
20317.6
Blue139
43328.6
260765.4
680825.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891235010015020091139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
64Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
4Foul points6
91Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#16
37.60.5
37.037.5
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
blue by 27.8
65.41.7
57.359.0
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
Second
430
#15
26.80.5
26.326.8
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End3.4
blue by 1.8
433
#9
28.61.7
25.026.7
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Third
203
#30
17.60.5
16.817.3
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End4.9
blue by 8.2
6808
#14
25.71.7
25.527.1
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned