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Red106
19332.6
30332.6
910017.0
Blue79
902718.0
1040017.5
911622.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9156020408010012014016010679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+25Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#13
52Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
90Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
106Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#12
32.60.9
31.732.6
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
red by 10.3
9116
#25
22.30.7
19.320.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.2
Second
193
#8
32.60.9
28.329.2
Auto3.9
Teleop24.7
End3.9
red by 14.6
9027
#28
18.01.1
13.514.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Third
9100
#24
17.00.9
13.514.4
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End1.2
blue by 0.5
17.50.7
17.117.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed