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Red86
692137.6
941623.1
910017.0
Blue97
19332.6
911622.3
518137.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82112501001508697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+7
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
Teleoperatedlevel
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
73Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points4
86Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6921
#16
37.60.4
37.637.9
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
blue by 0.2
37.80.5
39.038.5
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
Second
9416
#22
23.10.4
20.120.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
blue by 9.4
193
#8
32.60.5
30.630.1
Auto3.9
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Third
9100
#24
17.00.4
14.715.1
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End1.2
blue by 5.3
9116
#25
22.30.5
22.522.0
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed