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Red86
457526.8
1040017.5
1000119.5
Blue64
901417.3
463717.0
43026.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8584607080901001108664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+28Teleop
+18Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points12
18Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
56Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points2
86Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4575
#20
26.80.1
27.027.1
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.5
Level
430
#15
26.80.6
27.126.4
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Second
19.50.1
19.719.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 2.1
9014
#29
17.30.6
17.617.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.2
Third
17.50.1
18.518.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End1.5
red by 0.5
4637
#17
17.00.6
17.717.1
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned