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Red123
331471.3
20317.6
249530.8
Blue54
870624.3
81618.5
1015719.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13555010015020025012354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+67Teleop
+73Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points15
23Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +62
15Coral scored#2
54Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
72Total teleop10
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#6
BargeRed +6
26Cage & park20
26Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
2Foul points6
123Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.30.5
68.569.0
Auto18.7
Teleop42.9
End9.7
red by 47.0
8706
#23
24.30.6
23.823.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Second
2495
#13
30.80.5
27.728.2
Auto4.2
Teleop24.8
End1.7
red by 11.8
19.00.6
17.416.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Third
203
#30
17.60.5
16.617.2
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End4.9
blue by 1.0
816
#27
18.50.6
16.315.7
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned