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Red165
71428.6
180757.2
260765.4
Blue57
863028.2
680825.7
902718.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160715010020025016557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+88Teleop
+108Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
47Coral points13
47Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +60
17Coral scored#5
62Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
92Total teleop32
Reef
9L4#2
9L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#11
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points0
165Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.41.7
59.661.3
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
red by 37.2
8630
#18
28.21.0
27.326.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
Second
57.21.7
54.956.6
Auto12.2
Teleop39.1
End5.8
red by 31.5
6808
#14
25.71.0
26.925.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
Third
714
#21
28.61.7
25.026.7
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
red by 10.7
9027
#28
18.01.2
18.016.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed