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Red155
1150.6
139153.5
255434.0
Blue101
437338.3
30332.6
43328.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1469750200155101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +44
20Coral scored#11
73Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
105Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#6
5L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
155Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.51.5
51.653.1
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End6.4
red by 15.2
38.30.3
36.036.3
Auto11.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Second
11
#10
50.61.5
46.848.3
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
red by 18.0
303
#12
32.60.3
32.733.0
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
Third
2554
#11
34.01.5
33.935.4
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End1.0
red by 5.5
433
#9
28.60.3
28.128.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned