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Red76
1015719.0
911622.3
457526.8
Blue79
1000119.5
692137.6
941623.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7294204060801201401601807679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
18Cage & park4
18Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
76Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4575
#20
26.80.3
27.127.4
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.5
blue by 10.8
6921
#16
37.60.3
37.937.6
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
9116
#25
22.30.3
22.022.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.2
blue by 0.8
9416
#22
23.10.3
20.520.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
Third
19.00.3
16.717.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.3
blue by 0.4
19.50.3
19.819.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed