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Red118
260765.4
902718.0
870624.3
Blue105
910017.0
863028.2
71428.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12071050100150200118105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+3
+21Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
59Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points8
118Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.41.1
61.362.4
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
red by 36.8
714
#21
28.61.9
26.728.6
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Second
8706
#23
24.31.1
23.224.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End7.6
blue by 3.9
8630
#18
28.21.9
26.328.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
Third
9027
#28
18.01.2
16.718.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
red by 1.0
9100
#24
17.01.9
15.117.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed