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Red36
902718.0
870624.3
19332.6
Blue122
139153.5
20317.6
680825.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799005010015036122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
3Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +44
4Coral scored#12
15Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
0Processor points12
12Net points16
12Algae points28
27Total teleop71
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points30
36Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#8
32.62.4
27.224.8
Auto3.9
Teleop24.7
End3.9
blue by 20.9
53.50.8
43.043.8
Auto9.0
Teleop38.0
End6.4
Second
8706
#23
24.32.4
24.422.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End7.6
blue by 1.4
6808
#14
25.70.8
18.619.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
Third
9027
#28
18.04.0
20.416.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
red by 0.4
203
#30
17.60.8
19.019.8
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed