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Red71
941623.1
249530.8
863028.2
Blue90
463717.0
331471.3
255434.0
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76120501001507190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+23
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
59Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#4
6L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
71Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#13
30.81.4
25.223.8
Auto4.2
Teleop24.8
End1.7
blue by 40.5
71.32.2
53.551.2
Auto18.7
Teleop42.9
End9.7
Second
8630
#18
28.21.4
26.124.7
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
blue by 5.8
2554
#11
34.02.2
32.530.3
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End1.0
Third
9416
#22
23.11.4
18.216.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
red by 6.1
4637
#17
17.02.2
16.414.2
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed