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Red106
437338.3
30332.6
43026.8
Blue123
180757.2
1015719.0
692137.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8396204060120140160106123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+41
Endgame+29
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
68Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#4
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
12Foul points0
106Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.0
31.632.6
Auto11.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
blue by 18.9
57.22.3
45.848.1
Auto12.2
Teleop39.1
End5.8
Second
303
#12
32.61.0
30.031.0
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
blue by 5.0
6921
#16
37.62.3
27.629.9
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Third
430
#15
26.81.0
17.318.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End3.4
red by 7.8
19.02.3
14.917.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed