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Red79
81618.5
71428.6
1000119.5
Blue137
518137.8
457526.8
260765.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47138010015020025079137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+42
Endgame+52
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
64Total teleop85
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#5
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points6
79Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
714
#21
28.60.7
23.424.1
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
blue by 36.8
65.40.2
50.750.5
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
Second
19.50.7
16.617.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 18.3
37.80.2
41.441.2
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
Third
816
#27
18.50.7
15.115.8
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
blue by 8.2
4575
#20
26.80.2
27.727.5
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned