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Red169
331471.3
941623.1
260765.4
Blue70
863028.2
680825.7
30332.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172885010015020025016970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+75Teleop
+99Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points16
43Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +51
21Coral scored#10
76Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
100Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#5
9L3#4
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#16
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +99
0Foul points0
169Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.30.4
68.368.7
Auto18.7
Teleop42.9
End9.7
red by 38.7
303
#12
32.60.4
32.632.2
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
Second
65.40.4
62.462.8
Auto16.2
Teleop39.7
End9.5
red by 37.2
8630
#18
28.20.4
28.227.9
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
Third
9416
#22
23.10.4
20.120.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End5.6
blue by 2.6
6808
#14
25.70.4
25.725.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7