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Red88
20317.6
1150.6
901417.3
Blue104
43328.6
437338.3
43026.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions879920406012014016018088104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
Endgame+4
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
48Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points12
88Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#10
50.60.4
48.348.7
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
red by 12.3
38.30.1
36.336.3
Auto11.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
Second
203
#30
17.60.4
17.217.6
Auto0.9
Teleop11.7
End4.9
blue by 11.0
433
#9
28.60.1
28.428.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Third
9014
#29
17.30.4
17.017.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 9.5
430
#15
26.80.1
26.426.5
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned