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Red127
81618.5
19332.6
249530.8
Blue116
180757.2
680825.7
463717.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211950100150200127116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+15Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
20Coral scored#21
71Coral points74
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
105Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#28
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points4
127Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#8
32.62.4
30.132.5
Auto3.9
Teleop24.7
End3.9
blue by 24.6
57.20.2
56.656.5
Auto12.2
Teleop39.1
End5.8
Second
2495
#13
30.82.4
28.230.6
Auto4.2
Teleop24.8
End1.7
red by 5.1
6808
#14
25.70.2
25.925.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7
Third
816
#27
18.52.4
15.718.1
Auto2.7
Teleop12.5
End3.3
red by 1.5
4637
#17
17.00.2
17.116.9
Auto3.2
Teleop11.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed