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Red133
1015719.0
1150.6
437338.3
Blue85
19332.6
911622.3
71428.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115865010015013385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +25
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
85Total teleop60
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
18Cage & park6
18Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
133Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#10
50.60.7
49.249.8
Auto11.3
Teleop29.4
End10.0
red by 18.1
193
#8
32.60.0
32.532.6
Auto3.9
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Second
38.30.7
36.837.5
Auto11.4
Teleop22.5
End4.4
red by 9.7
714
#21
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Third
19.00.7
17.618.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End4.3
blue by 3.3
9116
#25
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.2