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Red108
692137.6
518137.8
870624.3
Blue104
863028.2
680825.7
30332.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115956080140160108104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#18
39Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
65Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
108Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
38.038.1
Auto6.3
Teleop25.8
End5.8
red by 5.2
303
#12
32.60.3
32.332.6
Auto3.9
Teleop27.4
End1.4
Second
6921
#16
37.60.2
37.838.0
Auto6.0
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 9.4
8630
#18
28.20.3
28.028.2
Auto11.3
Teleop16.1
End0.9
Third
8706
#23
24.30.2
24.524.7
Auto5.7
Teleop11.0
End7.6
blue by 1.4
6808
#14
25.70.3
25.525.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End1.7