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Red273
142566.7
366382.2
2910115.2
Blue154
593758.1
247157.2
944632.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25110050150200300350400273154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+33Auto
+97Teleop
+107Endgame
+119Fouls
AutonomousRed +33
3Leave0
10Coral scored#4
48Coral points18
51Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +64
36Coral scored#28
130Coral points100
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#2
18Processor points12
36Net points8
54Algae points20
184Total teleop120
Reef
19L4#12
14L3#10
6L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
58Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +119
12Foul points0
273Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.21.7
105.6107.3
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
red by 57.1
5937
#25
58.12.5
39.041.5
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Second
82.21.7
64.466.1
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
red by 25.0
2471
#16
57.22.5
45.047.5
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
Third
1425
#11
66.71.7
53.755.4
Auto20.2
Teleop38.0
End8.5
red by 33.9
9446
#34
32.82.5
21.524.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned