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Red199
404352.0
357430.4
446962.1
Blue262
902370.5
903650.7
2910115.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147261100200300350199262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+61
Endgame+61
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave9
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points30
37Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +59
28Coral scored#46
100Coral points167
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
24Processor points12
24Net points28
48Algae points40
148Total teleop207
Reef
9L4#16
12L3#20
8L2#10
6L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#61
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points2
199Total score262

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#43
62.12.0
60.162.1
Auto13.9
Teleop45.8
End2.4
blue by 53.2
115.20.9
113.8112.9
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
Second
4043
#10
52.02.0
50.952.9
Auto11.5
Teleop33.5
End7.0
blue by 18.6
70.50.9
69.668.6
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
Third
3574
#39
30.42.0
28.430.4
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.1
blue by 20.3
9036
#14
50.70.9
51.650.7
Auto3.6
Teleop43.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned