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Red196
945082.5
634351.4
1041640.7
Blue173
413141.5
177891.8
593758.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192235150250300196173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
9Coral scored#7
43Coral points33
43Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +9
22Coral scored#24
79Coral points88
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
30Processor points12
16Net points16
46Algae points28
125Total teleop116
Reef
14L4#13
5L3#9
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
4Foul points0
196Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9450
#15
82.50.8
79.279.9
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
blue by 9.4
91.82.1
91.489.3
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
Second
6343
#27
51.40.8
50.651.4
Auto11.9
Teleop35.3
End4.2
blue by 6.7
5937
#25
58.12.1
58.456.2
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Third
40.70.8
39.940.7
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
blue by 0.8
4131
#41
41.52.1
43.641.5
Auto7.3
Teleop27.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned