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Qual 122025 Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship
Red155
1041640.7
1007952.1
36057.2
Blue160
382629.3
48862.3
634351.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136131050100150200250300155160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+15
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points37
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#21
67Coral points74
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
12Processor points18
32Net points24
44Algae points42
111Total teleop116
Reef
6L4#9
9L3#10
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
155Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#46
57.21.9
54.3→56.2
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
blue by 5.1
488
#36
62.32.5
50.9→53.4
Auto12.7
Teleop47.2
End2.4
Second
10079
#26
52.11.9
38.7→40.5
Auto19.6
Teleop29.4
End3.1
red by 0.7
6343
#27
51.42.5
45.3→47.8
Auto11.9
Teleop35.3
End4.2
Third
10416
#47
40.71.9
31.2→33.0
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
red by 11.4
3826
#45
29.32.5
23.8→26.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed