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Red187
214753.4
131868.8
367467.3
Blue102
49252.2
94845.9
297630.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17710450150200250187102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+75Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +47
23Coral scored#13
83Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
119Total teleop72
Reef
13L4#4
7L3#4
4L2#5
7L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
187Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.81.2
62.964.1
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
red by 16.6
492
#12
52.20.5
37.036.5
Auto8.1
Teleop37.5
End6.6
Second
67.31.2
57.558.7
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
red by 21.4
948
#44
45.90.5
44.944.4
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
Third
2147
#40
53.41.2
45.746.9
Auto10.2
Teleop38.1
End5.2
red by 23.1
2976
#48
30.30.5
25.124.6
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned