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Qual 142025 Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship
Red187
412526.9
446962.1
944271.9
Blue198
956731.0
204678.7
95767.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14416950100200250187198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points34
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +18
28Coral scored#23
102Coral points84
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
18Processor points18
24Net points24
42Algae points42
144Total teleop126
Reef
13L4#10
9L3#10
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points18
187Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#29
71.92.1
65.3→67.3
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
blue by 6.8
2046
#5
78.70.8
66.7→67.5
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
Second
4469
#43
62.12.1
52.7→54.8
Auto13.9
Teleop45.8
End2.4
blue by 5.1
957
#17
67.20.8
61.0→61.7
Auto16.6
Teleop39.6
End10.9
Third
4125
#50
26.92.1
22.6→24.7
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End0.8
blue by 4.2
9567
#21
31.00.8
22.6→23.4
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned