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Qual 152025 Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship
Red192
252270.8
363663.9
255754.7
Blue218
406147.2
154071.2
177891.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156186100200250192218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
5Coral scored#9
24Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +12
31Coral scored#34
112Coral points122
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
148Total teleop160
Reef
16L4#20
7L3#8
7L2#8
6L1 · trough#7
44Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
192Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#9
70.81.8
57.2→59.0
Auto21.5
Teleop44.7
End4.6
blue by 21.0
1778
#2
91.82.1
79.4→81.5
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
Second
3636
#35
63.91.8
59.4→61.2
Auto13.9
Teleop48.7
End1.3
blue by 7.3
1540
#6
71.22.1
54.5→56.6
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End8.2
Third
2557
#30
54.71.8
34.1→35.9
Auto7.5
Teleop41.5
End5.7
red by 7.5
4061
#42
47.22.1
39.2→41.3
Auto9.8
Teleop35.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned