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Red161
634351.4
703455.3
94845.9
Blue265
241258.8
2910115.2
204678.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12423950100150200300350161265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+33
Teleop+94
Endgame+104
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +33
0Leave6
7Coral scored#13
37Coral points64
37Total auto70
TeleoperatedBlue +61
24Coral scored#29
86Coral points103
1Processor algae#5
4Net algae#9
6Processor points30
16Net points36
22Algae points66
108Total teleop169
Reef
8L4#11
11L3#14
6L2#10
6L1 · trough#7
36Game pieces#56
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points0
161Total score265

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7034
#18
55.31.7
38.840.4
Auto13.6
Teleop33.7
End8.0
blue by 59.9
115.22.7
107.3110.0
Auto26.5
Teleop76.6
End12.2
Second
6343
#27
51.41.7
47.849.5
Auto11.9
Teleop35.3
End4.2
blue by 27.3
78.72.7
67.570.2
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
Third
948
#44
45.91.7
44.446.1
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 12.9
2412
#24
58.82.7
43.446.1
Auto13.3
Teleop40.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned