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Red176
593758.1
255754.7
1007952.1
Blue202
956731.0
446962.1
902370.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12815850100200250176202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+28
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
7Coral scored#8
33Coral points40
36Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +24
24Coral scored#26
86Coral points94
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#8
12Processor points24
28Net points32
40Algae points56
126Total teleop150
Reef
14L4#16
8L3#8
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#46
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
176Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#25
58.12.8
41.544.2
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
blue by 12.4
70.52.6
61.363.9
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
Second
2557
#30
54.72.8
35.938.7
Auto7.5
Teleop41.5
End5.7
blue by 7.4
4469
#43
62.12.6
54.857.4
Auto13.9
Teleop45.8
End2.4
Third
52.12.8
40.543.3
Auto19.6
Teleop29.4
End3.1
red by 21.0
9567
#21
31.02.6
23.426.0
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed