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Red140
382629.3
214753.4
1041640.7
Blue160
357430.4
956731.0
366382.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12313250100150200140160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+2
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points27
20Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +11
23Coral scored#19
82Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
114Total teleop103
Reef
7L4#11
9L3#4
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
140Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#40
53.40.9
45.246.1
Auto10.2
Teleop38.1
End5.2
blue by 28.8
82.21.7
66.568.3
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
Second
40.70.9
35.636.5
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
red by 9.6
9567
#21
31.01.7
26.027.7
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
Third
3826
#45
29.30.9
27.127.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End4.4
blue by 1.1
3574
#39
30.41.7
21.222.9
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned