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Red211
36057.2
255754.7
451362.2
Blue229
404352.0
367467.3
413141.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174161100150200250300211229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points38
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +18
35Coral scored#29
126Coral points106
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
18Processor points12
20Net points28
38Algae points40
164Total teleop146
Reef
14L4#16
11L3#10
8L2#8
5L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
211Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#22
62.22.4
53.055.4
Auto7.9
Teleop42.3
End12.0
blue by 5.1
67.34.0
60.864.8
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
Second
360
#46
57.22.4
58.861.2
Auto10.2
Teleop42.1
End4.9
red by 5.2
4043
#10
52.04.0
48.752.6
Auto11.5
Teleop33.5
End7.0
Third
2557
#30
54.72.4
38.741.1
Auto7.5
Teleop41.5
End5.7
red by 13.2
4131
#41
41.54.0
33.737.7
Auto7.3
Teleop27.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned