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Red142
944632.8
413141.5
902370.5
Blue133
1041640.7
644333.8
669659.5
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221366080100160180200142133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
25Coral scored#23
90Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
112Total teleop106
Reef
12L4#12
8L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
142Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.51.0
57.458.4
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
red by 11.0
6696
#31
59.50.5
52.251.7
Auto11.4
Teleop47.1
End1.1
Second
4131
#41
41.51.0
29.330.3
Auto7.3
Teleop27.7
End6.5
red by 0.8
40.70.5
31.731.2
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
Third
9446
#34
32.81.0
20.621.5
Auto5.7
Teleop23.3
End3.8
blue by 0.9
6443
#49
33.80.5
36.035.5
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed