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Red154
406147.2
593758.1
451362.2
Blue134
412526.9
214753.4
247157.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112150100150200250154134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points15
26Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +7
23Coral scored#23
84Coral points83
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
112Total teleop105
Reef
13L4#10
5L3#10
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
154Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4513
#22
62.21.5
47.849.3
Auto7.9
Teleop42.3
End12.0
red by 5.0
2471
#16
57.21.0
43.945.0
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
Second
5937
#25
58.11.5
37.539.0
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
red by 4.7
2147
#40
53.41.0
44.745.7
Auto10.2
Teleop38.1
End5.2
Third
4061
#42
47.21.5
37.739.2
Auto9.8
Teleop35.7
End1.7
red by 20.3
4125
#50
26.91.0
21.622.6
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned