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Red127
956731.0
95558.7
644333.8
Blue229
252270.8
297630.3
204678.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128185100150200250127229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+104
Endgame+104
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
5Coral scored#10
24Coral points51
33Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +86
18Coral scored#31
66Coral points112
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#11
6Processor points18
16Net points44
22Algae points62
88Total teleop174
Reef
6L4#15
8L3#8
5L2#9
4L1 · trough#9
28Game pieces#55
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
2Foul points0
127Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#32
58.70.8
53.152.3
Auto16.8
Teleop40.5
End1.5
blue by 20.0
78.73.4
71.474.8
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
Second
6443
#49
33.80.8
36.735.9
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
blue by 37.1
70.83.4
60.864.1
Auto21.5
Teleop44.7
End4.6
Third
9567
#21
31.00.8
27.726.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.3
End4.0
red by 0.7
2976
#48
30.33.4
26.730.1
Auto7.8
Teleop22.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed