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Red199
99736.4
321857.1
902370.5
Blue211
247157.2
49252.2
451362.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16115850100200250300199211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave3
7Coral scored#8
35Coral points39
44Total auto42
TeleoperatedRed +8
31Coral scored#26
113Coral points95
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
141Total teleop133
Reef
16L4#11
10L3#9
6L2#9
6L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
199Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.52.7
64.667.4
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
red by 8.4
4513
#22
62.23.7
55.459.2
Auto7.9
Teleop42.3
End12.0
Second
3218
#23
57.12.7
45.448.1
Auto13.6
Teleop38.0
End5.4
blue by 0.1
2471
#16
57.23.7
48.552.3
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
Third
997
#33
36.42.7
33.936.7
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End0.6
blue by 15.8
492
#12
52.23.7
37.341.0
Auto8.1
Teleop37.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned