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Red210
131868.8
944632.8
366382.2
Blue147
446962.1
945082.5
683136.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178178150170180190200210147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+45Teleop
+59Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave6
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +37
29Coral scored#18
104Coral points65
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
136Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#8
14L3#6
9L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#31
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
4Foul points0
210Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.23.1
71.374.4
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
blue by 0.2
9450
#15
82.51.3
74.373.0
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
Second
68.83.1
62.465.5
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
red by 6.7
4469
#43
62.11.3
57.255.9
Auto13.9
Teleop45.8
End2.4
Third
9446
#34
32.83.1
26.029.1
Auto5.7
Teleop23.3
End3.8
blue by 3.8
6831
#38
36.61.3
35.133.8
Auto4.4
Teleop28.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed