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Red177
903650.7
95767.2
412526.9
Blue237
99736.4
177891.8
366382.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150237100200300350177237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+58
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
7Coral scored#8
33Coral points38
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +47
28Coral scored#36
102Coral points129
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
130Total teleop177
Reef
9L4#10
13L3#18
7L2#6
6L1 · trough#10
41Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
177Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#17
67.20.8
67.468.2
Auto16.6
Teleop39.6
End10.9
blue by 24.7
91.80.6
88.989.4
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
Second
9036
#14
50.70.8
50.851.7
Auto3.6
Teleop43.9
End3.2
blue by 31.5
82.20.6
79.479.9
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
Third
4125
#50
26.90.8
23.624.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End0.8
blue by 9.6
997
#33
36.40.6
38.639.2
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned