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Red103
644333.8
94845.9
382629.3
Blue170
593758.1
404352.0
293074.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12121250100150250300350103170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+49
Endgame+69
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +42
9Coral scored#24
34Coral points86
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
72Total teleop114
Reef
6L4#10
3L3#8
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
2Foul points0
103Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#44
45.91.6
46.544.9
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 28.4
2930
#20
74.31.4
71.870.4
Auto21.0
Teleop43.1
End10.2
Second
6443
#49
33.81.6
35.934.3
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
blue by 24.4
5937
#25
58.11.4
53.652.2
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
Third
3826
#45
29.31.6
31.229.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End4.4
blue by 22.7
4043
#10
52.01.4
54.853.4
Auto11.5
Teleop33.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned