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Red160
491558.8
406147.2
634351.4
Blue193
902370.5
1007952.1
131868.8
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164196100150250300160193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave3
10Coral scored#10
49Coral points48
49Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +21
16Coral scored#23
59Coral points82
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
24Processor points18
24Net points28
48Algae points46
107Total teleop128
Reef
10L4#11
5L3#11
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
160Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#28
58.80.1
56.456.6
Auto14.2
Teleop38.7
End6.0
blue by 11.8
70.50.4
67.067.4
Auto14.0
Teleop53.1
End3.4
Second
6343
#27
51.40.1
52.252.3
Auto11.9
Teleop35.3
End4.2
blue by 17.4
68.80.4
68.268.6
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
Third
4061
#42
47.20.1
44.344.5
Auto9.8
Teleop35.7
End1.7
blue by 4.9
52.10.4
45.946.3
Auto19.6
Teleop29.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned