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Red200
293074.3
204678.7
48862.3
Blue137
131868.8
634351.4
357430.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181124100150200250200137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+59Teleop
+67Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +45
23Coral scored#15
81Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
10Net algae#7
18Processor points12
40Net points28
58Algae points40
139Total teleop94
Reef
12L4#7
11L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points4
200Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.71.6
65.166.7
Auto17.8
Teleop51.7
End9.2
red by 9.9
68.80.4
62.562.9
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
Second
2930
#20
74.31.6
59.060.5
Auto21.0
Teleop43.1
End10.2
red by 22.9
6343
#27
51.40.4
44.945.3
Auto11.9
Teleop35.3
End4.2
Third
488
#36
62.31.6
49.450.9
Auto12.7
Teleop47.2
End2.4
red by 31.9
3574
#39
30.40.4
17.217.6
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned