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Red185
49252.2
491558.8
363663.9
Blue155
255754.7
95767.2
95558.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14015350100200250300185155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+22Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points33
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +32
26Coral scored#17
92Coral points60
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
18Processor points18
28Net points28
46Algae points46
138Total teleop106
Reef
10L4#9
10L3#6
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#34
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
185Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#35
63.93.1
56.359.4
Auto13.9
Teleop48.7
End1.3
blue by 3.2
957
#17
67.20.9
60.161.0
Auto16.6
Teleop39.6
End10.9
Second
4915
#28
58.83.1
48.051.2
Auto14.2
Teleop38.7
End6.0
Level
955
#32
58.70.9
48.249.1
Auto16.8
Teleop40.5
End1.5
Third
492
#12
52.23.1
33.937.0
Auto8.1
Teleop37.5
End6.6
blue by 2.5
2557
#30
54.70.9
33.234.1
Auto7.5
Teleop41.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned